U.S. Open: Betting odds, worth picks, perception for Pinehurst No. 2

One of the best gamers on this planet have descended upon Pinehurst, North Carolina, for the 2024 U.S. Open, probably the most difficult event in golf and the third main of the 12 months.

Each PGA Tour and LIV Golf gamers are eligible, though the 156-man discipline consists of solely a dozen LIV gamers.

Nonetheless, those that certified are among the many recreation’s elite, so let’s g

U.S. Open Odds:

Listed here are the newest odds for the 2024 U.S. Open, courtesy of DraftKings:

• Scottie Scheffler +300
• Rory McIlroy +1000
• Xander Schauffele +1200
• Viktor Hovland +1600
• Collin Morikawa +1600
• Bryson DeChambeau +1600
• Brooks Koepka +2000
• Ludvig Åberg +2000
• Jon Rahm +2200
• Tommy Fleetwood +3500
• Justin Thomas +3500
• Cameron Smith +3500
• Patrick Cantlay +4000
• Tyrrell Hatton +4500
• Max Homa +4500
• Shane Lowry +5000
• Matt Fitzpatrick +5000
• Hideki Matsuyama +5000
• Tom Kim +5500
• Jordan Spieth +5500

Photograph by Keyur Khamar/PGA Tour by way of Getty Photographs

U.S. Open Predictions

Recent off one other win on the Memorial Match, Scottie Scheffler arrives at Pinehurst No. 2 as an enormous favourite at 3-to-1. Many gasped on the gaudy determine of +450 for Scheffler on the PGA Championship, however now his odds are even higher one month later.

He has no weaknesses in his recreation from tee to inexperienced, and his brief recreation is severely underrated. Contemplating Pinehurst No. 2 is a ball-strikers course that additionally requires a deft contact across the greens, it is sensible that Scheffler has odds that low—given how good he has performed this season.

However, loads of different prospects have arrived within the Tar Heel State hoping to make historical past, so listed below are some worth picks for this week:

Cameron Smith finishes within the prime 10 once more

Final 12 months, Cameron Smith completed in solo fourth on the Los Angeles Nation Membership, a course that suited his brief recreation completely. This 12 months, Smith will lean on his beautiful chipping and pitching talents, in addition to his world-class putter, to contend for one more U.S. Open title at a course with ‘turtleback’ inexperienced complexes.

Photograph by Harry How/Getty Photographs

Though he had a tough end at LIV Golf Houston, going 11-over on his last six holes, Smith has confirmed himself on the largest of phases earlier than and can achieve this once more this week.

Since profitable The Open at St. Andrews in 2022, he has recorded three top-10s in majors, and his worth of +320 to nab one other is a strong supply.

Collin Morikawa proper there; data one other prime 5

If not for Scheffler, Collin Morikawa might have taken residence a few trophies already in 2024. As a substitute, he has six prime 10s this season, 5 of which have come for the reason that starting of April.

His recreation is trending in the best path, particularly his ball putting, which was lower than his normal earlier within the 12 months. Due to that, he ranks 51st on the PGA Tour in strokes gained, approaching the inexperienced this season. He ranked second to Scheffler on this metric in 2023.

This previous week, Morikawa gained greater than 5 strokes approaching the greens, good for fourth among the many Memorial discipline—demonstrating that his iron play is coming round. Ought to he proceed this pattern, Morikawa will likely be there on Sunday. A prime 5 end at +350 is price it for the two-time main champion.

Photograph by Michael Reaves/Getty Photographs

Tony Finau contends, as does Bryson DeChambeau

One other cast-iron participant, Tony Finau arrives in North Carolina trying to find his first main title. He has come shut many instances earlier than, as he has 10 profession top-10 finishes in majors. However he has not recorded one for the reason that 2021 PGA Championship.

Nonetheless, he tied for 18th at Valhalla final month and most lately completed in a tie for eighth at Muirfield Village. Finau at the moment ranks fourth on the PGA Tour in strokes approaching the inexperienced and sixteenth in proximity to the outlet. You should fireplace on the center of the greens at Pinehurst, no matter pin place, and Finau has demonstrated that skill 12 months after 12 months. We like him to complete within the prime 10 at +450.

On the flip aspect, DeChambeau’s energy isn’t his iron play; as an alternative, his thoughts and size off the tee routinely deliver him towards the highest of leaderboards. His recreation doesn’t essentially translate to Pinehurst No. 2 on paper, however he has performed so properly in majors this season that ruling him out could be silly. Thus, though the value is low, we like DeChambeau to file one other prime 10 at +180.

Longshot Contenders

Si Woo Kim has had an honest season, recording 10 top-25 finishes within the sixteenth occasions that he has performed. He ranks fourth on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green and twenty fourth in strokes gained across the inexperienced, proof that he may also scramble when wanted.

However his putter has let him down this season, as he ranks 162nd on tour in strokes gained: placing. Regardless of that, Kim’s recreation aligns with Pinehurst No. 2, so taking a flier on him to complete within the prime 10 at +650 is price it.

Photograph by Ian Johnson/Getty Photographs

Two different longshot contenders we like are Tom Hoge and Dean Burmester.

Hoge ranks third on the PGA Tour in strokes gained, approaching the inexperienced, trailing solely Scottie Scheffler and Corey Conners, respectively. At +1100 to file a top-10 end, Hoge is price it. If his brief recreation can cooperate, he has the expertise to contend and shock loads of folks.

As for Burmester, he has received thrice since November and is a budding star on LIV Golf. The South African can hit the ball a rustic mile and posted a strong end on the PGA Championship, tying for twelfth. Don’t be shocked to see his title on the leaderboard once more, so Burmester recording a prime 10 at +700 is a strong decide.

Keep away from Betting Scottie Scheffler; return too low

When you have adopted golf as of late, you understand that Scottie Scheffler is on a historic heater. It will shock no one if he went on to win this 12 months’s U.S. Open, however he has zero worth in the marketplace, even to win.

If Scheffler does win, you’re higher off searching for different gamers to complete within the prime 5 or prime 10. The World No. 1 is at the moment -275 to file a prime 10 and -140 to submit a prime 5 outcome, preposterous figures that bettors ought to keep away from.

Keep tuned for Taking part in By’s Workers Picks for the 2024 U.S. Open, set to publish on the morning of Tuesday, Jun. 11.

Jack Milko is a golf workers author for SB Nation’s Taking part in By. Make sure to take a look at @_PlayingThrough for extra golf protection. You may comply with him on Twitter @jack_milko as properly.